Total Premium Collected
$1,250
3 open positions
Net Delta Exposure
–7.82
portfolio delta
Buying Power Used
—
loading…
Days to Nearest Exp
7 DTE
SOFI / CLSK / TQQQ → 03/14
Open Positions
3 Active
| Ticker | Type | Strike | Exp | DTE | Qty | Entry | Mark | P&L | Theta/Day | Delta | IV% | Dist/Move | Actions |
|---|
Signal Ladder — Active Gates
System State
WATCH
Wheel Tracker — SOFI
✓
Sell CSP
17.5P @ $0.29 • 03/14
2
Assignment (if needed)
Buy 1000 shares @ $17.50
3
Sell Covered Call
Target: 17.5–18.5C weekly
Margin if assigned: $17,500
Portfolio Greeks
Net Delta–7.82
Net Gamma–0.184
Net Theta+$272
Net Vega–$840
Net Rho–$12
Account Settings
ACCOUNT
Account AUM ($)
Assignment Cap (% AUM)
Single-Name Cap (% AUM)
PER-STRATEGY RISK (% OF AUM PER TRADE)
CSP Max Risk %
= $10,000 per trade
Shares Max Exposure %
IC / PCS Max Risk %
= $3,000 per trade
0DTE Max Risk %
= $1,000 per trade
STOP / PROFIT RULES
Profit Target (% credit)
Stop Loss (× credit)
Max Open Positions
Persisted in browser. All risk calculations, Kelly sizing, CVaR, Jarvis context, and 0DTE sizing update immediately.
New Position Entry
Black-Scholes Output
Fill form → click Run Black-Scholes
Position Sizing — NUVO Rules
Enter position details above to see sizing guidance.
Rule: max 7% net delta per name / CVaR < 2.5% / DTE 5–14 or 21–45
Rule: max 7% net delta per name / CVaR < 2.5% / DTE 5–14 or 21–45
Theta Decay — Daily Collection
Cumulative Theta Collected
Per-Position Theta Breakdown
CVaR (Portfolio)
2.2%
of $60k • PASS (limit 2.5%)
Max Loss Budget
$4,800
8% of $60k • 3 positions
Single-Name Cap (7%)
TQQQ: 6.8%
Near limit — monitor
Stress Test — Underlying Move Simulator
–10% Scenario
–30%–20%–10%0%+10%
P&L Heat Map — Spot × DTE Grid
Cumulative P&L
P&L by Strategy Type
Probability Calculator — Black-Scholes PoP
PoP Distribution Chart
VIX Regime Engine
Current VIX
24.3
ELEVATED — k=0.25 / E1 ACTIVE
10 CALM18 NORMAL30 ELEVATED45 PANIC
Macro Indicators
SPY 200D MAABOVE ✓
QQQ TrendBELOW ✗
Put/Call Ratio1.18
SKEW Index139.2
HYG / TLTRISK-OFF
Dollar (DXY)104.8
VRP Screen
SOFI IV3088.5%
SOFI HV3071.2%
VRP Ratio
1.24 PASS
CLSK IV30120.6%
CLSK HV3098.4%
VRP Ratio
1.23 PASS
NMR Appraisal Engine — Live Dealer Pricing
| Ticker | Spot | Wholesale (r618) | Fair (r500) | Retail (r382) | EMA20 | EMA200 | RSI / Trend | Dealer State | IM · Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading NMR… | |||||||||
Hedge Calculator
Net Portfolio Delta
–7.82
Delta to Neutralize
7.82
Hedge Scenarios
Tail Risk Hedge — HUNTER Recommendations
SPY 560P (0DTE+14)
Recommended
Delta: –0.12 × 1 contract = –12 delta offset
Cost est: ~$4.80 debit
Net delta reduction: 48% — fully covers SOFI/CLSK exposure
Cost est: ~$4.80 debit
Net delta reduction: 48% — fully covers SOFI/CLSK exposure
VXX Long (+1 unit)
Alternative
Long VXX as regime hedge
Protects TQQQ + CLSK elevated IV positions
Trigger: VIX > 28 → add 1 unit
Protects TQQQ + CLSK elevated IV positions
Trigger: VIX > 28 → add 1 unit
Close TQQQ CSP (partial)
Reduce Risk
Single-name delta approaching cap (6.8%)
Close 5 of 10 contracts → $310 debit
Reduces CVaR from 2.2% → 1.4%
Close 5 of 10 contracts → $310 debit
Reduces CVaR from 2.2% → 1.4%
Hedge Effectiveness — Delta Neutralization Chart
Ticker
Spot Price
IV %
DTE
Wing Width
Gap Risk
1-Day Expected Move
—
±0.0%
1-Week Expected Move
—
±0.0%
1-Month Expected Move
—
±0.0%
Two Sigma Probability MatrixBull Put Spread · SD-mapped strikes · empirical win rates
| PoP Target | Short Δ | SD Dist | Hist Win % | Short Strike | Long Strike | Est Credit | Breakeven | Max Loss | Theta Edge | Status |
|---|
Today's Exact Setup — 85%+ PoP
Run matrix to generate setup.
Win Rate by Delta Level
Framework Notes
Premium Decay: 0.10–0.15Δ decays slowest early, accelerates sharply final 3 DTE. 0.20+Δ decays fastest overall — higher gamma exposure.
Skew Adjustment: Mild put skew (OTM puts 3–8% richer) — sell puts further OTM for same credit. Favors bull put spreads today.
Historical Accuracy: 1-week implied move contained actual move 72% of last 100 sessions.
Position Sizing: 1–2% portfolio risk per trade. Scale out at 50% max profit. Roll if short breaches 0.50Δ.
Trade Ledger — Full History